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Market Outlook: Eyes on the Fed as UK earnings season kicks off, Barclays, Next & more

Shares in London are becalmed despite growing coronavirus concerns with traders eyeing the Federal Reserve announcement later today
July 29, 2020

Shares in London were flat across the board at the open this morning after a mixed night on Asian and US equities. Concerns that the US economy might struggle under the weight of the coronavirus' resurgence in many states and a warning from Hong Kong that its health service may be overwhelmed due to a flare up there added to fears that the coronavirus effect on the world economy is by no means done.

In London attention is shifting to corporate earnings as many of the big beasts of the FTSE100 begin to report their earnings, led by the like of Barclays, Next and Taylor Wimpey today.

UK Company Announcements

Barclays (BARC)

Like its US counterparts, the lender was boosted by a stand-out performance from its investment banking operations during the second quarter, which offset declines in its consumer businesses over the course of the first half. That cushioned the blow of £3.7bn in impairment charges for bad debts, although pre-tax profits were still down more than half.

Next (NXT)

Next now anticipates making a full-year pre-tax profit of £195m, with a sales decline of 28 per cent being "much better than expected". Next had previously forecast a drop of 30 to 40 per cent.

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)

Together with French company Sanofi, the pharma group has agreed to provide 60m doses of a potential Covid-19 vaccine to the UK government. Early-stage trials are expected to start in September. GSK's half-year numbers are expected later today.

Taylor Wimpey (TW.)

A fall in completions of more than half during the first half of the year meant the housebuilder swung to a pre-tax loss of £30m, which was exacerbated by £39m in costs related to dealing with the pandemic. During the nine weeks since construction and sales sites reopened, the sales rate has improved to 0.7 per outlet per week, from 0.3 during lockdown.

Dignity (DTY)

Underlying operating profits grew by 6 per cent in the first half, as the company provided more funeral services during the pandemic. Average income per funeral however fell further, as client choices were restricted because of coronavirus.

Unite Group (UTG)

The student property developer swung into an interim pre-tax loss of £74m, which was driven by a valuation loss of £138m caused by the coronavirus outbreak. Unite raised £300m in June to pay down debt and invest in university partnerships.

Weir Group (WEIR)

The engineer's interim pre-tax profits fell 41 per cent to £63m. Weir, which is looking to reduce its exposure to oil and gas, experienced just a 6 per cent decline in orders in its minerals division, with around three-quarters of revenues being recurring. Oil and gas revenues dropped 48 per cent, however.

Drax (DRX)

Adjusted cash profits grew by 30 per cent in the first half to £179m, led by £34m in capacity payments following the re-establishment of the UK capacity market.

FDM (FDM)

Adjusted operating profit dropped by almost a quarter in the first half, as coronavirus led to a fall in new deals and the early termination of placements by clients operating in vulnerable sectors.

Smurfit Kappa (SKG)

Revenue dropped by 9 per cent in the six months to 30 June, to €4.2bn (£3.8bn), while cash profits (Ebitda) tumbled by 13 per cent to €735m. This reflects the impact of Covid-19 and a drop in box prices. The final 80.9¢ dividend for 2019 was cancelled in April, but it will now be paid as the interim dividend instead.

Smith & Nephew (SN)

Operating profits landed at $172m for the first half – lower than market consensus estimates of $225m. The medical devices group was badly hit during the second quarter by a pause on elective procedures.

Across the pond eyes are on the Federal Reserve and its interest rate announcement later today which is likely to indicate a finger on the trigger with an eye on the economy but no action just yet. Concern remains around the impact of coronavirus on the hoped opening up of the US economy with many states now forced into rolling back opening plans, but, as the chart below shows, new cases may be showing signs of plateauing. 

 

Neil Wilson is on holiday until Tuesday 11 August