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Permanent privilege

The US dollar will not quickly lose its reserve currency status.
August 6, 2020

Is the US dollar in danger of losing its reserve currency status? This is the question posed by the currency’s recent fall: it has dropped more than 3 per cent on its trade-weighted index in the past three months, and has lost almost 7 per cent against the euro.

There seem to be reasons why it should lose this privilege. Years of external deficits mean the US is now a huge net debtor: latest figures show that its overseas liabilities exceed its assets by over $12 trillion. And the country’s mishandling of the Covid-19 outbreak have fuelled talk that it is a failed state – talk intensified by President Trump’s threat last week to postpone November’s elections.

In truth, though, the dollar is likely to remain the world’s reserve currency for some time.

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