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Avon insiders buy on temporary setback

The market reaction to an unexpected contract delay may have opened up a buying opportunity
January 6, 2021
  • DLA contract delays to materially impact full-year results
  • A separate $33m order from NATO’s support & procurement agency

Shares in Avon Rubber (AVON) slumped in the run-up to Christmas after the Wiltshire-based group announced a delay to a contract to make body armour plates for the US Army and the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA). The group has been engaged in a product approval process for small arms protective inserts and body-armour plates, but these have dragged on longer than anticipated, with the result that first deliveries under the contracts are now expected to commence in the first half of the group’s 2022 financial year, which will have a material impact on results for its September year-end.

Avon also revealed that a protest has been lodged against the US Army Next Generation Integrated Head Protection System contract announced on 24 September 2020. It does not currently foresee any material impact on expectations for FY2021, but the contract updates represent a negative beat on near- to medium-term prospects, something of a rarity where Avon is concerned.

Group chairman Bruce Thompson and non-executive board member Victor Chavez clearly viewed the consequent double-digit markdown in the share price as an open goal and promptly snapped up around £123,000 of stock between them, garnering a paper profit of £7,000 in the intervening period.

Avon has continued to derive some benefit from the pandemic, specifically increased demand for its respiratory protection range for use by first responders, while order intake for its Ceradyne ballistic helmet range provides encouragement following its launch in North America in July 2020.

But given the highly competitive nature of its end markets, the group will be desperate to avoid a repeat of the contract delays and risk imperilling its reputation for reliability in terms of delivery. Still, a separate announcement detailing a $33m (£24.2m) order for respiratory equipment from NATO’s support & procurement agency suggests that industry take-up of the group’s protection technologies is not slowing down. Buy at 3,250p.

Last IC view: Buy, 4,285p, 2 Dec 2020

Buys    
CompanyDirector/PDMRDatePrice (p)Aggregate value (£)
Anglo AmericanJim Rutherford23 Dec 202,430143,844
AudioboomMichael Tobin (ch)21 Dec 2017620,000
Avon RubberVictor Chavez21 Dec 203,05530,825
Avon RubberBruce Thompson (ch)21 Dec 203,06091,800
BAE SystemsStephen Pearce21 Dec 204,48048,040
British American Tobacco *Marina Bellini23 Dec 202,69953,980
City of LondonJason Oakley22 Dec 208542,500
Driver Group Steven Norris (ch)23 Dec 205424,610
GlaxoSmithKline *Dr H Barron21 Dec 201,33130,629
Morses ClubGary Marshall21 Dec 204444,000
Morses ClubDave Belmont (cs)24 Dec 205025,000
Network International HoldingsAli Mazanderani27 Dec 20294129,998
NWFDavid Downie30 Dec 2019819,800
Rio Tinto *Hinda Gharbi29 Dec 205,62078,683
SSPMike Clasper (ch)23 Dec 20323100,003
SynthomerCaroline Johnstone23 Dec 2044049,003
Touchstone Exploration IncStanley Smith22 Dec 2011634,800
TymanNicky Hartery23 Dec 20357356,500
* Purchased via American Depositary Shares
Sells    
CompanyDirector/PDMRDatePrice (p)Aggregate value (£)
AJ BellAndy Bell (ce)30 Dec 2046016,674,972
AJ BellFergus Lyons (PDMR)30 Dec 204608,075,889
Associated British FoodsGeorge Weston (ce)23 Dec 202,2531,463,407
essensysIan Bryn Sadler22 Dec 20148207,200
Gamma CommunicationsAndrew Stone18 Dec 201,614286,541
Impax Asset ManagementIan Simm (ce)29 Dec 20700140,099
OSB GroupPeter Elcock24 Dec 20443106,816
Strategic MineralsPeter Wale23 Dec 200.415,500
TMT InvestmentsAlexander Selegenev23 Dec 2059438,610