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TP ICAP pins hopes on diversification

Full-year results suggest the interdealer broker is starting to resemble a more rounded business
March 10, 2020

As expected, headline figures for TP ICAP’s (TCAP) 2019 financial year were not that impressive. On an adjusted basis – which helps to account for the final stages of the Tullett Prebon-ICAP merger – profits were flat and the operating margin dipped from 15.7 to 15.2 per cent year on year.

IC TIP: Buy at 369p

That was partly due to a slight decrease in global broking revenues, as a decent outing for the interdealer broker’s rates business was offset by weaker credit and equities earnings. Cost growth also outpaced the rise in the top line.

Yet it increasingly looks as though issues around business integration and earnings growth are in the rear-view mirror. Most notably, revenues are diversifying via growth in non-broking businesses such as the institutional services and data & analytics divisions, which increased 23 per cent and 15 per cent, respectively, in the period.

Analysts at Numis, which expect earnings per share of 35.4p in 2020 and 38.7p in 2021, reckon the first quarter was strong, but acknowledged that “calling Q2 and Q3 remains difficult at this stage... despite the strong strategic momentum in the business”.

TP ICAP (TCAP)   
ORD PRICE:369pMARKET VALUE:£2.08bn
TOUCH:368-369p12-MONTH HIGH:425pLOW: 265p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.6%PE RATIO:31
NET ASSET VALUE:304p*NET DEBT:9%^
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)   Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20150.8010634.016.85
20160.895717.816.85
20171.767215.816.85
20181.76625.716.85
20191.839312.016.85
% change+4+50+111-
Ex-div:2 Apr   
Payment:19 May   
*Includes intangible assets of £1.57bn, or 279p a share. ^Includes lease liabilities of £140m