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British Land doubles its development arm

But over half of this is already pre-let or under offer
May 17, 2018

British Land (BLND) provided evidence that beneath the pall of uncertainty draped over the London office and retail market, life in the real world continues, and valuations on both the London office portfolio and retail were up from a year earlier.

IC TIP: Hold at 700.8p

Even though attitudes towards new development remained sensibly cautious, demand has been brisk, so the pipeline of committed developments more than doubled to 1.6m square feet, although speculative exposure remained low at just 4.5 per cent of the portfolio.

And underpinning the strength of demand, around 55 per cent of this has already been pre-let or is under offer. Committed construction costs of £427m are largely covered by the £373m of receipts to come from the now completed Clarges Mayfair residential development.

The plan now is to focus on a campus-focused London office business, larger multi-let retail outlets and residential build to rent. The campus model, based on providing flexible office space, has continued to expand, rising to 21 per cent of the office space take up in the year to March 2018.

At Canada Water, where it has a 53 acre site, a master development agreement has been secured with Southwark council, and the first phase will eventually cover 1.8m square feet of mixed use space, while the overall master plan is expected to deliver 3,000 homes, 2m sq ft of workspace and 1m sq ft of retail and leisure facilities.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted net asset value at the March 2019 year-end of 940.6p from 939.8p in 2018.

BRITISH LAND (BLND)  
ORD PRICE:700.8pMARKET VALUE:£ 6.9bn
TOUCH:700.4-700.8p12-MONTH HIGH:703pLOW: 589p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.3%TRADING PROPERTIES:£328m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:28%  
INVESTMENT PROP:£12.3bn#NET DEBT:32% 
Year to 31 MarNet asset value (p)*Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)**
20146881.1111127
20158291.7916827.68
20169191.3313128.36
20179150.2018.829.2
20189670.5048.730.08
% change+6+156+159+3
Ex-div:28 Jun   
Payment:03 Aug   

*Adjusted NAV **Dividends paid quarterly XD and pay date refers to fourth-quarter dividend of 7.52p

#Includes joint ventures