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Metro Bank to raise £350m to boost capital

The challenger bank is also facing a regulatory investigation following its miscategorisation of certain loans
February 27, 2019

Metro Bank (MTRO) investors seem to be losing faith in the challenger bank’s ability to execute its ambitious growth strategy. The shares fell to an all-time low on news of a £350m share placing to boost capital levels, just one month after it revealed it had incorrectly categorised certain loans for the purposes of assigning risk weighting. Management also disclosed that the Financial Conduct Authority and Prudential Regulation Authority intend to investigate the “circumstances and events” that led to the error.

IC TIP: Sell at 1062p

Meanwhile, customer lending continued apace, with the loan book growing almost half to £14.2bn during 2018. However, that was against a 34 per cent rise in deposits, which meant that loans represented 91 per cent of deposits, against 82 per cent in the prior year. Management has set a more modest annual deposit growth target of 20 per cent in the medium term, with the aim of bringing the loan-to-deposit rate down to between 85 and 90 per cent.

Lending growth was driven by retail mortgages, which account for two-thirds of group balances. However, continued competition within that market, combined with a rise in the cost of deposits, pushed the net interest margin down to 1.81 per cent, from last year's 1.93 per cent. Underlying pre-tax profit growth during the fourth quarter was also hindered by a rise in operating costs associated with new branch openings and technology.

The lender is also facing new requirements to raise loss-absorbing debt, which has coincided with elevated pricing in the wholesale debt markets. Management blamed the pace of regulatory change for weaker progress on improving its cost-to-income ratio, which came in at 86 per cent. That is down on 90 per cent the prior year, but a far cry from management’s new target for 2023 of 55-60 per cent.   

Prior to the release of 2018 results, analysts at Investec were forecasting net tangible assets of 1,227.7p a share at the December 2019 year-end.

METRO BANK (MTRO)   
ORD PRICE:1,062pMARKET VALUE:£ 1.03bn
TOUCH:1,061-1,071p12-MONTH HIGH:4,056pLOW: 1,061p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:36
NET ASSET VALUE:1440pLEVERAGE:17.8
Year to 31 DecTotal operating income (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2014*75.4-48.9-70.0nil
2015*120-56.8-83.0nil
2016195-17.2-22.0nil
201729418.712.8nil
201840440.629.1nil
% change+37+117+127-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Pre-IPO