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Hammerson's attention to detail pays off

Record lettings in 2017, but sentiment remains wary towards the retail sector
February 26, 2018

Commercial property landlord Hammerson (HMSO) has demonstrated that keeping abreast of changing consumer habits certainly pays off, as lettings reached their highest level ever in 2017, while occupancy hit a 17-year high at 98.3 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 474.9p

A hands-on approach has allowed the group to outperform the broader market, while an increase in net rental income and a small valuation uplift on the portfolio helped to push adjusted net asset value ahead by 5 per cent to 776p a share.

Hammerson also benefited from its diverse portfolio, with rental growth in France and Ireland helping to offset a tougher UK market. However, its domestic portfolio of shopping centres still delivered modest growth in both rental income and footfall. However, retail parks, which tend to be in out-of-town locations, saw both lower footfall and negative rental growth. Even here, though, the underlying picture was brighter, because the previous year included a number of surrender premiums arising from tenant rotation; something that was not repeated in 2017. So, on a like-for-like basis, net rental income would have grown by 2.4 per cent.

The strongest growth came from so-called premium outlets, of which Hammerson has 20 sites across 14 European countries. Annual earnings growth here is averaging 9 per cent, with tourists in particular attracted to the idea of buying higher-end luxury and fashion items at discounted prices. Demand in the UK has also been aided by sterling’s overall weakness attracting overseas customers. This sector now accounts for a fifth of the group’s property portfolio and includes high-end locales such as Bicester, where Hammerson spent £76m on acquiring further premium outlets and taking its economic interest to over 50 per cent. New investments have been financed by capital recycling, with £400m of disposals made in 2017.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted net asset value at the December 2018 year-end of 788.7p per share.

HAMMERSON (HMSO)  
ORD PRICE:474.9pMARKET VALUE:£3.77bn
TOUCH:474.8-475p12-MONTH HIGH:615pLOW: 456p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.4%DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES:£337m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:37%  
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES:£8bn*NET DEBT:58% 
Year to 31 DecNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201357032645.319.1
201463470395.720.4
201570373292.822.3
201672832340.224
201775841349.025.5
% change+4+28+22+6
Ex-div:15 Mar   
Payment:26 Apr   
*Includes joint ventures