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LSE: sturdy despite merger flop

The capital markets business continues to develop its post-trade and information services
August 7, 2017

The failure of its proposed merger with rival Deutsche Börse (de: DB1) doesn’t seem to have taken the wind out of London Stock Exchange's (LSE) sails. During the first six months of the year, its indices and post-trade services continued to be the jewels in the crown.

IC TIP: Hold at 3892p

Management has expanded the group's reach geographically and via product lines. It acquired US-based data and analytics business Mergent, as well as The Yieldbook and Citi Index businesses from Citigroup (US:C), hoping to gain traction in fixed-income data and indexation. The FTSE Russell indices continued to prove popular, growing revenue 16 per cent on an organic, constant currency basis. The amount of exchange-traded fund assets benchmarked by these indices was up more than a third to $530bn.

The clearing of over-the-counter derivatives continued to be strong. SwapClear saw client trades increase by a third, and members of the platform up from 102 to 106; while ForexClear saw members up from 23 to 27. Overall revenue at LCH, the post-trade services business, was up 17 per cent at constant currencies.

Primary capital markets revenue was up 5 per cent at fixed currencies thanks to a doubling of new money raised on the UK and Italian markets. However, this was offset by a reduction in trading of derivative contracts and equity traded on its secondary markets platform.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profits of £754m during the 12 months to December 2017, giving EPS of 146p (2016: £623m, 122p).

LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP (LSE) 
ORD PRICE:3,892pMARKET VALUE:£ 13.5bn
TOUCH:3,892-3,893p12-MONTH HIGH:3,931pLOW: 2,611p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%PE RATIO:45
NET ASSET VALUE:858p*NET DEBT:5%
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201672216427.412
201785327750.414.4
% change+18+69+84+20
Ex-div:24 Aug   
Payment:19 Sep   
*Includes intangible assets of £4.2bn, or 1,208p a share