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Sainsbury's waiting on CMA

The supermarket is waiting to hear what regulators have to say about its potential merger with Asda
November 9, 2018

It’s hardly surprising that Sainsbury’s (SBRY) half-year numbers failed to move the share price on their release. The supermarket chain is still embroiled in its bid to merge with Asda, the specific terms of which are subject to a second-phase investigation by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA). News of the potential £7.3bn tie-up first emerged at the end of April this year and, if approved, would hand Asda’s owner Walmart around £2.98bn in cash and a 42 per cent stake in the combined business.

IC TIP: Hold at 319.4p

In the meantime, Sainsbury is busy reaping the rewards of its last big acquisition – Argos. Group sales rose 3.5 per cent during the first half to £16.9bn, although the like-for-like improvement was less dramatic at just 0.6 per cent. Statutory profits fell as a result of ongoing integration work, but underlying retail operating profits actually grew by more than a fifth to £335m, driven mainly by Argos cost synergies. In fact, cost savings exceeded £120m during the period, while retail free cash flow grew by £183m to £619m thanks to strong cash generation and the timing of bank capital injections. Overall, the group delivered £63m-worth of cash profit synergies from Argos, taking the total to £150m to date. Since the period-end, bosses say they’ve met the £160m target nine months ahead of schedule. In the longer term, the group is still aiming to claw back £500m in cost savings over the next three years.

Echoing sentiments from Marks and Spencer (MKS) a day before, margins at the general merchandising division – which sells clothing and homewares – remain under pressure, even though sales growth of 1.5 per cent outperformed the wider market. That’s because those sales were mostly weighted towards lower-margin consumer technology products.

Forecasts for the company are suspended ahead of the impending merger, but in July, broker Shore Capital said it expected FY2019 EPS to report flat at 20p.

J SAINSBURY (SBRY)   
ORD PRICE:319.4pMARKET VALUE:£7.03bn
TOUCH:319.3-319.5p12-MONTH HIGH:342pLOW: 222p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.2%PE RATIO:26
NET ASSET VALUE:333pNET DEBT:11%
Half-year to 22 SeptTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201714.62207.13.1
201815.11326.13.1
% change+3-40-14-
Ex-div:15 Nov   
Payment:21 Dec