Our last full-year review for Indus Gas (INDI) came with a health warning: specifically, that "on balance, we’re not convinced Indus should be a public company". Our reservations were linked to the dominance of Indus founder and chief executive Ajay Kalsi on the share register, which hasn’t dissipated since.
Mr Kalsi’s position is by no means anomalous, given that the free-float capitalisations of Indian companies are among the lowest in global equity markets. However, minority holders have been stung by resource groups in the past, most notably ENRC, a Kazakh mining group that listed with an 18 per cent free float a decade ago, and delisted six years later following a series of scandals.
However, Mr Kalsi and the gas company’s minority holders can be satisfied with operational and financial performance. Indus increased revenue generated by technical assistance services by a third to $20.8m (£15.9m), while reducing its cost of sales dramatically, with led to a 22 per cent hike in gross profit to $53m.
Indus is investing heavily to increase its footprint in India’s rapidly expanding natural gas sector. But the related leverage constitutes a drain on cash resources, with $33m debt liabilities repayable through FY2019. Reassuringly, net operating cash flow was in line with statutory profits.
Bloomberg consensus expects pre-tax profit of $43.7m for the year ending March 2019, giving adjusted EPS of 24¢, against $47.8m and 18¢ in FY2018.
INDUS GAS (INDI) | ||||
ORD PRICE: | 283p | MARKET VALUE: | £518m | |
TOUCH: | 272-298p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 420p | LOW: 260p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | nil | PE RATIO: | 21 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 89¢ | NET DEBT: | £529m |
Year to 31 Mar | Turnover ($m) | Pre-tax profit ($m) | Earnings per share (¢) | Dividend per share (¢) |
2014 | 27.8 | 21.0 | 6.0 | nil |
2015 | 41.4 | 30.0 | 9.0 | nil |
2016 | 45.6 | 29.7 | 9.0 | nil |
2017 | 39.1 | 43.8 | 14.0 | nil |
2018 | 39.8 | 47.8 | 18.0 | nil |
% change | +2 | +9 | +29 | - |
Ex-div: | - | |||
Payment: | - | |||
£1=$1.31 |