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Indus tightly held as ever

The Indian gas company has boosted technical assistance services
October 3, 2018

Our last full-year review for Indus Gas (INDI) came with a health warning: specifically, that "on balance, we’re not convinced Indus should be a public company". Our reservations were linked to the dominance of Indus founder and chief executive Ajay Kalsi on the share register, which hasn’t dissipated since.

IC TIP: Hold at 283p

Mr Kalsi’s position is by no means anomalous, given that the free-float capitalisations of Indian companies are among the lowest in global equity markets. However, minority holders have been stung by resource groups in the past, most notably ENRC, a Kazakh mining group that listed with an 18 per cent free float a decade ago, and delisted six years later following a series of scandals.

However, Mr Kalsi and the gas company’s minority holders can be satisfied with operational and financial performance. Indus increased revenue generated by technical assistance services by a third to $20.8m (£15.9m), while reducing its cost of sales dramatically, with led to a 22 per cent hike in gross profit to $53m.

Indus is investing heavily to increase its footprint in India’s rapidly expanding natural gas sector. But the related leverage constitutes a drain on cash resources, with $33m debt liabilities repayable through FY2019. Reassuringly, net operating cash flow was in line with statutory profits.

Bloomberg consensus expects pre-tax profit of $43.7m for the year ending March 2019, giving adjusted EPS of 24¢, against $47.8m and 18¢ in FY2018.

INDUS GAS (INDI)   
ORD PRICE:283pMARKET VALUE:£518m
TOUCH:272-298p12-MONTH HIGH:420pLOW: 260p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:21
NET ASSET VALUE:89¢NET DEBT:£529m
Year to 31 MarTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201427.821.06.0nil
201541.430.09.0nil
201645.629.79.0nil
201739.143.814.0nil
201839.847.818.0nil
% change+2+9+29-
Ex-div:-   
Payment:-   
£1=$1.31