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BTG upgrades guidance – again

The pharma group has upgraded guidance for a second time in a matter of weeks
November 13, 2018

BTG's (BTG) shares seem to have found renewed momentum following a 12-month trough in July, and these half-year numbers – which included an FY2019 guidance upgrade for the company’s pharmaceuticals division – have inspired further confidence. The company has also made its final $73.3m (£56.9m) payment to settle its ongoing legal dispute with Wellstat Therapeutics, albeit sending free cash flow down by nearly two-thirds during the period.

IC TIP: Hold at 655p

But having started the year facing "a number of near-term uncertainties", bosses say these are now largely resolved. For example, varicose veins treatment Varithena has relaunched in the US, and is expected to be profitable next year, while the timing of a potential generic launch of the group’s prostate cancer drug Zytiga continues to be in line with management’s expectations. Emphysema treatment PneumRx might have failed to win the US regulatory thumbs up, but costs have been cut while the company explores other options. Broker Peel Hunt has suggested the coil system could be sold or licensed to a partner.

Analysts at Peel Hunt expect pre-tax profits of $216m for the year ending March 2019, giving EPS of 45¢, compared with $213m and 43.7¢ in FY 2018.

BTG (BTG)    
ORD PRICE:655pMARKET VALUE:£2.54bn
TOUCH:653-656p12-MONTH HIGH:784pLOW: 467p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:139
NET ASSET VALUE:345¢*NET CASH:$285m
Half-year to 30 SepTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201744259.717.8nil
201849687.520.0nil
% change+12+47+12-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of $908m, or 235¢ a share                                               £1=$1.29