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Antofagasta to cut spending

The copper price is at a three-year low after coronavirus, but the Chilean copper miner's low costs and low debt give it an advantage
March 17, 2020

Copper miner Antofagasta (ANTO) says its operations in Chile have not yet been impacted by Covid-19, but will aim to cut spending this year to cope with the crisis.

IC TIP: Buy at 694p

The copper price is down to $5,210 (£4,252) a tonne (t), or $2.36 per pound (lb), its lowest point in three years. Antofagasta was forecasting a capital spend of $1.3bn to $1.5bn in 2020, but the company is now aiming to cut this through savings or deferrals.

Chief executive Iván Arriagada was bullish about the copper price. “We expect that when the global impact of the virus diminishes, combined with the stimulus by the Chinese and other governments, which is developing strongly at the moment, the market will experience a quick recovery,” he said. 

Net production costs last year were $1.22/lb, with the high gold and silver price influential in the 5 per cent year-on-year drop alongside operational savings. Antofagasta kept its dividend payout steady at 67 per cent of net earnings, although a $42m decline in net earnings meant the final dividend came down almost a quarter to 34.1ȼ. This was well above the consensus estimate of 27ȼ, however. 

Broker Peel Hunt sees cash profits (Ebitda) increasing 6 per cent this year to $2.4bn. 

ANTOFAGASTA (ANTO)    
ORD PRICE:694pMARKET VALUE:£6.1bn
TOUCH:693-694p12-MONTH HIGH:1,026pLOW: 575p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.1%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:750ȼNET DEBT:6%*
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (ȼ)Dividend per share (ȼ)
20153.230.24-0.53.10
20163.620.2812.118.4
20174.751.8376.150.9
20184.731.2551.543.8
20194.961.3550.934.1
% change+5+8-1-22
Ex-div:23 Apr   
Payment:22 May   
£1=$1.21 *Includes lease liabilities of $244m