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AO World in the black for the first time

Shoppers are getting more comfortable making big purchases online
July 14, 2020

People aren’t just buying comfortable clothes online for lockdown. Electrical retailer AO World (AO.) believes the Covid-19 pandemic has had a “seismic impact” on how people make purchases, converting some consumers permanently to internet shopping. As investors note that trend, the company’s share price has risen more than 90 per cent since the start of the year.

IC TIP: Sell at 164p

AO World was making progress even before the recent stampede to online marketplaces. Its earnings for the 12 months to 31 March were a marked improvement on the previous year, while cash generated from operating activities moved into the black to £14m, even with a £32m uptick in receivables. In the all-important ‘major domestic appliances’ category, sales increased by 20 per cent year-on-year in the March quarter, against claimed market growth of just 3 per cent. 

The UK division accounted for almost 90 per cent of total sales last year, at £902m, and Germany is now the sole Continental European operation after the closure of its Dutch business. AO World expects a major improvement out of Germany this year, forecasting revenue will increase by almost three-quarters to €250m (£227m). 

Despite the shift to buying more appliances online, AO World has warned of potential headwinds in the coming months that could delay the purchase of ‘big-ticket’ items – falling consumer confidence, fewer housing transactions and the possibility of a hard Brexit. 

Numis forecasts an adjusted pre-tax profit of £25m this year, compared with a £2m loss in 2020. 

AO WORLD  (AO)    
ORD PRICE:164pMARKET VALUE:£784m  
TOUCH:163-165p12-MONTH HIGH:179pLOW:47p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA  
NET ASSET VALUE:17p*NET DEBT123%**  
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)** 
20160.60-6.7-1.4nil 
20170.70-7.0-1.6nil 
20180.80-13.5-2.9nil 
2019 (restated)0.90-20.2-4.0nil 
20201.051.50.38nil 
 +16--- 
Ex Div:na    
Payment:na    
*Includes intangible assets of £44m or 9.2p per share **Includes lease liabilities of £84.1m