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Oxford Biomedica expects stronger second half

The group has agreed to make the potential Oxford/ AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine
September 17, 2020

In recent months, the name Oxford Biomedica (OXB) has been closely linked with the Oxford University/AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine trials. The gene- and cell-therapy specialist has signed a three-year master supply and development agreement with AstraZeneca for the large-scale manufacture of the potential inoculation, and the pharma giant has paid Oxford Biomedica an upfront £15m capacity reservation fee. If the vaccine programme continues, it could receive additional revenues of more than £35m through to the end of 2021.

IC TIP: Hold at 850p

For now, we cannot know if or when a vaccine will be delivered. But hopes are sky-high – as was evident earlier in September, when Oxford Biomedica’s shares slipped on the news that the Oxford trials had paused for a review of safety data after possible adverse effects in a participant. They have since resumed in the UK.

In any case, Oxford Biomedica’s chief executive John Dawson emphasised that the vaccine work is not imposing on the group’s other operations – helped by the fact that its new Oxbox manufacturing facility comprises 84,000 sq. ft. Other partnerships underway include a tie-up with Juno Therapeutics/ Bristol Myers Squibb, signed in March, with £7.8m paid up front and up to $217m (£167m) payable over time.

Half-year revenues were lifted by ongoing growth in bioprocessing and commercial development. Oxbox-related costs kept the group in the red, but operating losses narrowed from £6.1m to £5.8m.

Broker Panmure Gordon expects adjusted losses per shares of 4.1p in 2020, moving to EPS of 11.3p for 2021.

OXFORD BIOMEDICA (OXB)  
ORD PRICE:850pMARKET VALUE:£ 698m
TOUCH:835-865p12-MONTH HIGH:400pLOW: 873p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:133pNET CASH:£40m
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201932.1-12.1-14.80.0
202034.0-6.1-8.70.0
% change+6---
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na