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LondonMetric buoyed by urban logistics demand

Urban logistics rents have been driven by lack of supply
November 27, 2019

Beefing up exposure to urban logistics via the takeover of A&J Mucklow earlier this year provided the kicker to the estimated rental value (ERV) of LondonMetric’s (LMP) portfolio during the first half. ‘Last mile’ delivery assets – which now comprise 35 per cent of the portfolio – generated a 1.1 per cent increase in ERV against  flat ERV for mega and regional distribution sites.

IC TIP: Hold at 244p

Demand for urban logistics assets was reflected in the rents commanded upon lease review – one rent review was completed on the open market at 16 per cent above previous passing rent and a further four have been completed since the period-end at 33 per cent higher. That compared with an 8 per cent uplift agreed on a big-box distribution asset since September in the face of increased supply. 

The weighted average unexpired lease term (WAULT) of the Mucklow assets was 6.5 years, compared with 12.5 on the group’s existing portfolio, but management expects the overall portfolio’s WAULT to revert back towards the longer-term average over time. 

“We like having long leases,'' said Mr Jones. “We will approach customers much earlier in the process and ask if they want to stay.” If they do not, selling the building can be an option, as was the case with the 84,000 square foot warehouse that was let to Croda, who had plans to move into one of LondonMetric’s larger warehouses in two years’ time.  

Beyond logistics, the group also boosted its so-called ‘long income’ portfolio, investing £49m in assets with a WAULT of 16 years, including several Co-Op convenience stores and a package of 10 IMO car washes. Rent reviews for the portfolio were settled at 14 per cent above previous passing rents. 

Broker Panmure Gordon forecasts adjusted net asset value (NAV) of 179p at the March 2020 year-end, rising to 184p in FY2021.

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY (LMP)   
ORD PRICE:244pMARKET VALUE:£2.05bn
TOUCH:244-244.8p12-MONTH HIGH:244pLOW: 172p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.4%TRADING PROP:£1.1m
PREMIUM TO NAV:40%  
INVESTMENT PROP:£2.38bnNET DEBT:59%*
Half-year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)**
201817379.311.43.8
2019174-10.7-1.34.0
% change+1--+5
Ex-div: 05 Dec   
Payment: 10 Jan   
*Excludes lease liabilities of £6m
**Dividends paid quarterly, ex-div and payment dates refer to second-quarterly dividend of 2p a share