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Ted strong at half-way stage

The high street fashion chain is continuing to expand its business overseas
October 10, 2017

Ted Baker (TED) lost some of its shine this year, but there’s renewed momentum behind the share price. The group doesn’t report an overall like-for-like sales growth measure considering its multi-channel model, but break interim numbers down by division and geography, and it’s clear that the fashion retailer is performing well in a challenging market.

IC TIP: Buy at 2,819p

Retail sales rose by 14 per cent to £218m at the halfway stage, with the UK and Europe up 11 per cent and North America up 18.8 per cent. The latter enjoyed a significant currency tailwind thanks to the strength of the dollar – constant currency sales grew by a more modest 7.8 per cent to £61m – but this helped offset higher levels of competition and poor tourism numbers in the region. E-commerce sales are also flying – up by a whopping 44 per cent to £42.7m.

Gross margins across the business are largely stable, and they'll be shored up by the now-completed transition to a single European distribution centre in the UK. Dual-running costs relating to three legacy sites came in at £1.2m in the first half, but should fall to £0.9m in the second.

Analysts at Peel Hunt expect pre-tax profits of £76.6m for the year ending January 2018, giving EPS of 129p, compared with £65.8m and 112p in FY2017.

TED BAKER (TED)   
ORD PRICE:2,819pMARKET VALUE:£1.25bn
TOUCH:2,812-2,820p12-MONTH HIGH:3,150pLOW: 2,286p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.0%PE RATIO:25
NET ASSET VALUE:469pNET DEBT:59%
Half-year to 12 AugTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201625921.537.114.8
201729625.343.616.6
% change+14+18+18+12
Ex-div:19 Oct   
Payment:17 Nov