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Atalaya improvements yet to hit bottom line

Higher production helps revenue but costs and a year-on-year lower price hit profits
August 14, 2020

Atalaya Mining (ATYM) saw increased production, lower capital expenditure and an improving copper price in the June quarter, but could not convert those to higher profits. The Spanish miner saw a 71 per cent year-on-year fall in profit for the first half, dropping to €6m (£5.4m).

IC TIP: Buy at 191p

A lower average realised copper price and higher operating costs (due to higher production) hit the bottom line. Atalaya’s net operating cash flow was better, however, at €23m, up 55 per cent on last year. 

The near one-third increase in copper concentrate production came from the plant expansion at the Riotinto mine, near Sevilla. Recoveries were also higher, meaning the miner got more copper out of its ore. 

The full-year all-in sustaining cost (AISC) is forecast at $2.20-$2.30 per pound (lb) of copper, against $2.25/lb (£1.73) in the first half. According to BMO, the Chinese buying that saw copper climb to over $6,500 per tonne (t), or $2.95/lb, in July has eased off. 

The company’s share price has followed a similar pattern, climbing above 200p for the first time since February last month but dropping to 190p this week. 

Atalaya recently confirmed its right to run the mine after a legal challenge, but its second project, Touro, has been knocked back on environmental grounds by the Galician regional government. The company said it was looking at appeal options and also modifying its existing plans to get them signed off. 

House broker Peel Hunt anticipates 2020 cash profits will fall by 13 per cent to €54m, before jumping to €165m in 2021.

ATALAYA MINING (ATYM)    
ORD PRICE:191pMARKET VALUE:£ 262m
TOUCH:190-194p12-MONTH HIGH:212pLOW: 77p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NAPE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:238¢*NET CASH:€11.9m
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (€m)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201994.824.615.4nil
20201187.54.6nil
% change+24-69-70-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
£1=€1.11 *Includes €61m in intangibles, or 44¢ per share