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Anglo American returns to health

After a near-death experience, the miner has moved quickly to repair and restore its balance sheet and dividend policy
July 27, 2017

Surprise! Anglo American (AAL) is back to the dividend register, having previously told the market it would forgo an interim payout. Half-year figures show several sources of this renewed confidence, including stronger prices, tight control of capital expenditure, and a focus on costs and self-help that delivered a whopping 20 per cent increase in productivity. However, as analysts at Investec predicted prior to these results, the likely catalyst for the dividend was the ZAR15.97 (94p) per share pay-out by majority-owned Kumba Iron Ore (SA:KIO), announced two days before Anglo’s numbers.

IC TIP: Buy at 1233p

That one of Anglo’s subsidiaries could declare a half-year distribution equivalent to $400m (£304m) shows how profitable the period was. After depreciation and amortisation, finance costs and income taxes, the iron ore and manganese division added $498m to underlying earnings, bested by a $778m contribution from the coal business. On the back of such buoyant prices, Anglo has taken the opportunity to exit several of its South African and Australian coal properties.

A 75 per cent drop in expansionary capital spending left enough free cash flow for Anglo to cut 27 per cent out of the net debt pile to $6.2bn, well ahead of a $7bn year-end target. The effect is unlikely to be as pronounced in the second half, when capital expenditure is expected to hit $1.5bn.

Investec expects normalised pre-tax profit of $4.9bn and EPS of $2.05 in the year to December, compared with $3.4bn and $1.72 in 2016.

ANGLO AMERICAN (AAL)  
ORD PRICE:1,233pMARKET VALUE:£15.9bn
TOUCH:1,233-1,234p12-MONTH HIGH:1,423pLOW: 765p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3%PE RATIO:5
NET ASSET VALUE:1,624¢NET DEBT:23%
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20169.9-0.36-63nil
201712.12.4210948.0
% change+22---
Ex-div:10 Aug   
Payment:22 Sep   
£1=$1.31