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N Brown sees sustained improvement

The retail group's digital offering is growing, and a recovery appears to be on the cards
October 13, 2017

A sell-off on results day was most likely an exercise in profit-taking following the recent, not to mention remarkable, recovery in N Brown's (BWNG) shares. Even chief executive Angela Spindler admits the stock “has had good momentum”. In her view, it’s because the “conversation has moved on”, as N Brown shifts from a traditional catalogue business to operating “much more like a mobile business”, a concept that extends from how it buys stock to the way it evaluates future growth opportunities.

IC TIP: Hold at 339p

In the first half, online revenue rose by a solid 14 per cent, with around 76 per cent of all digital traffic coming via mobile devices. This helped product revenue to grow by 7.5 per cent overall, although a  190 basis point contraction in gross margins, itself a previously anticipated result of negative foreign exchange rates, did hinder profit growth. As for the financial services division, revenue only nudged up 1.1 per cent, but a substantial improvement in margins – the result of better quality in the customer loan book – meant gross profit grew 3.9 per cent to £73.5m.

Analysts at Peel Hunt expect pre-tax profit of £77.6m for the year ending February 2018, giving EPS of 22p, compared with £80.6m and 22p in 2017.

N BROWN (BWNG)   
ORD PRICE:339pMARKET VALUE:£960m
TOUCH:338-339p12-MONTH HIGH:361pLOW: 179p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.2%PE RATIO:153
NET ASSET VALUE:153p*NET DEBT:71%
Half-year to 2 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2016^42921.16.05.67
2017453-27.6-7.55.67
% change+6---
Ex-div:12 Dec   
Payment:12 Jan   
*Includes intangible assets of £153m, or 54p a share. ^26 weeks to 27 Aug 2016.