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Another special for Morrisons' investors

The supermarket is trucking along in a difficult, and changing, grocery sector
March 13, 2019

Despite what Shore Capital analysts called "a more than satisfactory" financial outcome for the year ended 3 February 2019, Morrisons (MRW) shares were flat on the release of these results. Perhaps that's because a lot of positives were covered in the November third-quarter update. In the event, adjusted pre-tax profits of £406m were marginally shy of Shore Capital’s forecast, although it still represents a creditable outcome, with growth in wholesale sales particularly encouraging.

IC TIP: Hold at 222.7p

Perhaps the market response points to investor caution. UK regulators recently dealt a "hammer blow" to a potential merger between Sainsbury’s (SBRY) and Walmart-owned Asda, while a new digital partnership between online grocer Ocado (OCDO) and Marks and Spencer (MKS) has raised eyebrows. It remains to be seen how Morrisons might grow its own market share – some had expected it to clean up from potential property disposals from the Sainsbury's/Asda deal – with the wholesale business and carefully managed new store openings seemingly top of the agenda for now.

Shore Capital still expects pre-tax profits of £442m for the year ending January 2020, giving EPS of 13.9p, compared with £406m and 12.9p in FY2019.

MORRISONS (MRW)   
ORD PRICE:222.7pMARKET VALUE:£5.27bn
TOUCH:222.6-222.7p12-MONTH HIGH:268pLOW: 199p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3%*PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE:196pNET DEBT:22%
Year to 3 FebTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201516.8-792-32.613.7
201616.12179.55.0
201716.332513.15.4
201817.338013.36.1
201917.732010.36.6
% change+3-16-22+8
Ex-div:23 May   
Payment:1 Jul   
*Excludes special dividend of 6p in respect of FY2019 and 4p in FY2018