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Just defers half-year dividend

The life assurer has delayed declaring a dividend until the regulatory backdrop becomes clearer
September 6, 2018

The Prudential Regulatory Authority’s (PRA) review into the use of lifetime mortgages to back annuities has cast uncertainty over the robustness of the capital positions of the life assurers providing them. The uncertainty has prompted management at Just Group (JUST) to defer declaring an interim dividend, with plans to review the longer-term dividend policy once the regulator reveals its outcome.

IC TIP: Buy at 89p

As a pre-emptive measure to the potential regulatory changes, management has raised the prices on its retail and defined benefit de-risking products which will help reduce the capital strain on that business and improve returns, according to deputy chief executive David Richardson. The average loan-to-value on new lifetime mortgages have also been reduced for younger customers, where the ‘no negative equity’ guarantee carries greater risk. Management is also considering re-insuring part of the in-force book, which would reduce the group’s financial requirements, and says it also has the option to issue restricted tier 1 debt or further tier 2 debt if it needs more capital.

The group also seems a little more conservative when writing new mortgages: the average loan-to-value of new business was 28 per cent, compared with 31 per cent average for the overall portfolio. Still, judging by the first-half, demand for lifetime mortgages is still high, with new business sales up more than a third to £313m.

However, it was defined benefit de-risking that drove new business sales up more than half to £1.5bn. Sales of those products more than doubled to £718m. Individual annuity sales also continued to recover, rising 9 per cent to £427m, which management attributes to new rules requiring providers to show the best quote from the market encouraging customers to shop around. Care plans – where annuities are paid to a care provider – also recovered following uncertainty over potential government reforms of care fees, rising a modest 2 per cent to £34.8m.

Analysts at Numis forecast adjusted European embedded value of 243.2p at the December 2018 year-end, up from 228.4p the same time the prior year.

JUST GROUP (JUST)   
ORD PRICE:89pMARKET VALUE:£ 834m
TOUCH:88.85-89p12-MONTH HIGH:173pLOW: 86p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:6
NET ASSET VALUE: 188pSOLVENCY II RATIO:150%
Half-year to 30 JunGross written premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20170.7266.06.31.17
20181.1845.75.2nil
% change+64-31-18-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na