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Wetherspoon's marginal decline

The pubco's financials suffered due to rising wages, but bar sales continue to rise
March 15, 2019

JD Wetherspoon (JDW) chairman Tim Martin didn’t dwell too long on the 14.2 per cent decline in half-year operating profit before launching a broadside at the nation’s politicians for not delivering on the EU referendum result. Brexit aside, the value-focused pub chain saw the underlying margin shrink to 7.1 per cent from 8.9 per cent at the 2018 half-year. Increased staff costs added £33m to the cost base, while free cash flow was held in check due to share purchases for employees and payments relating to tax and interest.

IC TIP: Hold at 1,302p

The group entered into a new five-year banking agreement, extending its total facilities, excluding finance leases, from £860m to £895m. Net debt stood at £724m at the halfway mark, taking the enterprise value of the underlying business to in excess of £2bn. Leverage on this scale, though hardly advisable, is not unknown in the sector, but net interest cover fell from four times profit before interest, tax and exceptional items from a multiple of 5.5 at the 2018 half-year. It’s envisaged that the net-debt-to-cash profit ratio will be around 3.5 times for the "foreseeable future".

Bloomberg consensus gives pre-tax profits of £102m for the July year-end, leading to EPS of 75.3p, rising to £104m and 78.4p in FY2020.

JD WETHERSPOON (JDW)  
ORD PRICE:1,302pMARKET VALUE:£ 1.37bn
TOUCH:1,302-1,305p12-MONTH HIGH:1,346pLOW: 1,051p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.9%PE RATIO:21
NET ASSET VALUE:296pNET DEBT:232%
Half-year to 27 JanTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201883054.340.14.00
201989048.636.84.00
% change+7-11-8-
Ex-div:02 May   
Payment:30 May