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Barratt balances sales price pressure

The housebuilder managed to expand operating margins once again
September 4, 2019

Unlike many of its peers, Barratt Developments (BDEV) has managed to increase its operating margin in the face of continuing pressure on house sales prices. The margin rose to 18.9 per cent – from 17.7 per cent  in FY2018 – as the housebuilder purchased sites at a higher margin and increasingly used more modern methods of construction, including off-site manufacturing.

IC TIP: Hold at 605p

The question is to what extent efficiency improvements and volume growth can continue to support this margin expansion. As expected, a reduction in the average sales price – which fell 5 per cent to £274,000 – weighed on revenue. The group has been raising the proportion of affordable housing completions and is increasingly looking beyond London, where price growth has stagnated relative to the national average. By the end of June, the housebuilder had just 18 wholly-owned private homes left to legally complete in the capital and 262 units under its two joint ventures, although 85 per cent of the latter were forward sold.  

Land creditors reduced to 31.3 per cent of the land bank, from 33.6 per cent, as management closed in on its target to reduce land creditors to between 25 and 30 per cent of the land bank this year. That is expected to result in lower average cash balances, although a special capital return to shareholders is still planned in November 2020. The average supply of owned land rose to 4.7 years, ahead of the 3.5 years management is targeting as it seeks to improve return on capital employed.      

Analysts at Peel Hunt forecast adjusted pre-tax profits of £920m and EPS of 74.1p for the year to June 2020, from £910m and 73p in the prior year.

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS (BDEV)  
ORD PRICE:605pMARKET VALUE:£ 6.16bn
TOUCH:605.2-605.6p12-MONTH HIGH:670pLOW: 430p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.8%PE RATIO:8
NET ASSET VALUE: 478p*NET CASH: £758m
Year to 30 JunTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)**
20153.7656645.515.1
20164.2468255.118.3
20174.6576561.324.4
20184.8783666.526.5
20194.7691073.229.1
% change-2+9+10+10
Ex-div:10 Oct   
Payment:05 Nov   
*Includes intangible assets of £908m, or 89p a share **Excludes special dividends of 10p a share in 2015, 12.4p in 2016 and 17.3p in 2017, 2018 and 2019