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Urban&Civic: in its own league

Ready to meet the demand for oven-ready building plots
February 6, 2018

Bringing land through the planning process and selling it on to hungry housebuilders is nothing new, but the way that Urban&Civic (UANC) does it puts the company in a league of its own.

IC TIP: Buy at 310p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Huge land bank

Cheap finance facilities

Modest gearing

Close relationship with MoD and local authorities

Bear points

Modest dividend

Growth rate yet to accelerate

The principle difference is that it operates as a master developer, whereby it grants a licence for housebuilders to construct homes. Having completed all the ground work, Urban&Civic lets housebuilder move in and start constructing very quickly. In doing so, it is driving a horse and cart through the planning process and is working towards halving from seven years the timescale between a planning application and the first delivery, or in the case of its Wintringham site, just 24 months.

There are other key advantages as well, including a close relationship with the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA), which provides finance at a relatively low 2.9 per cent coupon rate. Another attraction is that the interest element is rolled up with the principal to be paid only out of realisation proceeds.

It gets better because, of the six sites it operates on, three are close to Cambridge and within the Cambridge to Oxford arc supported by the National Infrastructure Commission review. It has taken a long time to reach the current stage whereby revenue from more advanced schemes is helping to finance the capital outlay at sites where expenditure has yet to peak.

URBAN&CIVIC (UANC)   
ORD PRICE:310pMARKET VALUE:£450m
TOUCH:309-312p12M HIGH:315pLOW:218p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%TRADING STOCK:£290m
DISCOUNT TO FORWARD NAV:10%   
INVESTMENT PROPS:£156mNET DEBT:22%
Year to 30 SepNet asset value(p)*Trading profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)*Dividend per share (p)
2015270-5.02.65
2016284-14.62.9
20173046.64.83.2
2018*32315.46.13.52
2019*34620.09.93.87
% change+7+30+62+10
Normal market size:1,500   
Matched bargain trading    
Beta:0.13   

*Numis forecasts, adjusted NAV and EPS figures

One of the key sites where building has already started is Alconbury, a former Ministry of Defence (MoD) property near Huntingdon covering nearly 1,500 acres and with room to build 6,500 homes, of which 5,000 already have planning consent. On a phased basis, this includes three primary schools, a secondary school and other infrastructure such as surgeries and community centres. Working closely with local authorities pays off, and working with the existing local community (such as placing new facilities as close as possible to existing housing) also helps to oil the cogs.

As well as land for commercial use, within the portfolio there is room to build around 40,000 houses. As master developer, the company retains project responsibility, and licenses fully serviced plots of around 150 plots at a time. Urban&Civic receives a third of the cash when completed homes are sold, with an agreement for a minimum annual amount based on assumed fixed-price sales of 35 to 40 homes. Output is only just starting to gather momentum, but while there were just 52 plot completions in the year to September 2017, this is expected to jump to 315 in the current financial year and to 720 the year after.

And at Waterbeach, Urban&Civic has been appointed development manager by the MoD, and capital commitment is limited to £9.3m for the planning application. In return Urban&Civic will receive a licence agreement that could be worth as much as £42m, as well as an option to build up to 35 per cent of the residential element (2,275 homes) plus the entire commercial element.