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esure: keep on motoring

There's a special dividend for shareholders to savour, too
August 3, 2017

Esure (ESUR) maintained its hectic rate of expansion in the six months to June, with gross written premiums in the motoring division up more than a quarter at £351m. In-force policies grew by 16 per cent to 1.74m for motoring, and the combined operating ratio – that's claims and expenses as a proportion of income – improved from 97.9 per cent to 95.3 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 297.8p

The rise in premiums came through a combination of higher policy numbers and a rise in premium rates. The latter was more enough to offset claims inflation, leaving the net loss ratio better at 72.6 per cent from 76.4 per cent a year earlier.

Competition remained intense on the home insurance side, and esure resisted the temptation to chase unprofitable business by maintaining strict underwriting discipline. As a result of this, gross written premiums were down 6 per cent at £42m and there was still an underwriting loss of £2m, although non-underwriting services such as administration fees and instalment income prospered.

In home insurance, competition means that there remains a soft rating environment despite claims inflation, a situation that chief executive Stuart Vann thinks cannot continue indefinitely. Investment income fell from £6.1m to £5.7m, equating to a gross investment return of 0.9 per cent, down from 1 per cent a year earlier.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted pre-tax profits for the year to December 2017 of £94.3m and EPS of 17.5p (from £71.2m/14.7p in 2016).

ESURE (ESUR)   
ORD PRICE:297.8pMARKET VALUE:£ 1.24bn
TOUCH:297.4-297.8p12-MONTH HIGH:309pLOW: 177p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.5%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:64pCOMBINED RATIO:96.6%
Half-year to 30 JunGross premiums (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Investment return (£m)**Dividend per share (p)
201632031.224.63
201739345.127.72.9*
% change+23+45+13-3
Ex-div:31 Aug   
Payment:13 Oct   
*Excludes special dividend of 1.2p a share **Includes instalment interest