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Land Securities' speculative arm all but finished

With a de-risked portfolio, it's well placed to weather any storm
November 14, 2017

Headline losses for Land Securities (LAND) at the halfway stage reflected costs associated with the redemption of some of its bonds. Net rental income was actually nearly 2 per cent higher at £303m, which would have been higher still without taking disposals into account. These included 20 Fenchurch Street, which generated £634m (the company’s share) against a build cost of £237m.

IC TIP: Hold at 933p

Net asset value was flat, as the valuation deficit narrowed from £260m a year earlier to just £19m. The portfolio performance was mixed, though. Rental values were lower for London offices and shopping centres, while retail parks and central London shops both delivered a marginal uplift. However, these changes – all less than 1 per cent – reflected valuations of individual assets rather than a general shift in the direction of overall trends.

Crucially, the £3bn speculative development arm has been completed, with only 140,000 square feet (sq ft) of Victoria development Nova waiting for a tenant. In the City of London, a planning application has been submitted for a 564,000 sq ft building at 21 Moorfields, and Deutsche Bank has already agreed to take a minimum of 469,000 sq ft.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted net asset value at the March 2018 year-end of 1,432.4p a share, up from 1,418.5p a year earlier.

LAND SECURITIES (LAND)  
ORD PRICE:933pMARKET VALUE:£6.91bn
TOUCH:933-933.5p12-MONTH HIGH:1,142pLOW: 931p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.3%TRADING PROP:£111m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:36%   
INVESTMENT PROP:£13.7bn*NET DEBT:27%
Half-year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)**
20161449-95-12.117.9
20171468-33-4.319.7
% change+1--+10
Ex-div:30 Nov   
Payment:05 Jan   
*Including joint ventures **Dividends paid quarterly XD and Pay Date refers to second quarterly dividend of 9.85p