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Affordable shift lifts Countryside

Working with local authorities on affordable housing is bringing high returns for the builder
November 23, 2017

Countryside Properties (CSP) came to the quoted housebuilders’ party quite late on, floating in February 2016, but since then its progress has been little short of meteoric. The suspicion in some quarters that builders are dragging their feet on increasing output finds no ground here: Countryside managed a 28 per cent jump in completions to 3,389 in the year to September 2017. That was up on the 12 per cent growth rate in the previous financial year.

IC TIP: Buy at 344p

Average selling prices for private homes eased a little to £430,000 as the group reduced its exposure to higher-end properties, but this was more than offset by an increase in prices in affordable housing, which was also sufficient to negate build cost inflation. Overall return on capital employed rose from 26.8 per cent to 30.5 per cent, and underlying operating margins edged ahead to 16 per cent.

In the partnership division, where it works with local authorities and housing associations, completions rose 17 per cent to 2,192, while adjusted operating profits jumped 40 per cent to £79.4m. Working with local authorities also means that land procurement is easier, typically comprising public sector brownfield sites, and with such a relatively low-capital model Countryside exceeded its 28 per cent return on capital employed a year earlier than targeted.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted pre-tax profits of £190m and EPS of 34.3p for the year to September 2018 (from 27.8p in FY2017).

COUNTRYSIDE PROPERTIES (CSP)  
ORD PRICE:344pMARKET VALUE:£1.55bn
TOUCH:342.2-344p12-MONTH HIGH:373pLOW: 220p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:152pNET CASH:£77.4m
Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2013*277-5.3nana
2014*453-5.4nana
2015*547284.4nil
20166717913.63.4
201784614226.08.4
% change+26+80+91+147
Ex-div:21 Dec   
Payment:09 Feb   
*Pre-IPO figures