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Paddy Power Betfair braces for year of change

Management says the company is well-placed to deal with the upcoming regulatory changes in the UK, US and Australia
March 7, 2018

Paddy Power Betfair (PPB) boss Peter Jackson says the company’s “scale, leading customer propositions and strong balance sheet” should protect it from any regulatory shocks this year, including a fixed-odds betting terminals tax in the UK, a decision on sports betting in the US, and point-of-consumption taxes in Australia. For now, these regions are growing ahead of such anticipated changes, with Australia’s 21 per cent sales growth leading the way last year. Interestingly, however, a ban on credit betting has come into effect there after the period end.

IC TIP: Hold at 7950p

All games across the Paddy Power and Betfair brands have now been consolidated onto the same technology platform, so rolling out new products should become easier. Management also wants to spend an extra £20m during 2018 on advertising to improve market share, as well as help retain customers.

Analysts at Numis still expect EPS of 438p this year, up from 398p in 2017, although the brokerage believes downgrades are likely. 

PADDY POWER BETFAIR (PPB)  
ORD PRICE:7,950pMARKET VALUE:£6.73bn
TOUCH:7,945-7,955p12-MONTH HIGH:8,965pLOW: 6.635p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:31
NET ASSET VALUE:5,196p*NET CASH:£244m
Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20130.75141257135
20140.88167301152
 Turnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share 
 
2015 (restated)0.79125240180¢
20161.5011.9-7.2165p
20171.75247258200p
% change+16+1972-+21
Ex-div:12 Apr   
Payment:29 May   
*Includes intangible assets of £4.3bn, or 5,119p a share