Join our community of smart investors

PageGroup falls on UK uncertainty

The recruiter said a fall in UK conversion rates was largely the result of continued Brexit uncertainty
March 7, 2018

PageGroup’s (PAGE) cautious stance on the UK market, in light of ongoing uncertainty around Brexit, cost its share price on results day. The domestic market accounts for around a fifth of group gross profits, and was the only segment not to report bottom-line growth in 2017. Chief executive Steve Ingham said this was largely the result of PageGroup’s focus on higher-salary positions, with activity levels stronger at the lower end of that spectrum. As such, protecting UK margins will remain a key focus this year, which could mean lowering headcount to cut costs.

IC TIP: Hold at 494.6p

Thankfully, Europe, the Middle East and Africa – which together account for the lion’s share of group earnings – reported a healthy 15 per cent gross profit improvement. Asia and the Americas also reported higher profits too, which helped keep the conversion rate at the group level moving upward to 16.6 per cent (16.3 per cent in 2016). Although conditions are “challenging” in Brazil, Australia and Singapore, Mr Ingham reckons these markets can bounce back.

Analysts at HSBC expect pre-tax profits of £134m for the year ending December 2018, giving EPS of 31.2p, compared with £119m and 26.6p in 2017.

PAGEGROUP (PAGE)   
ORD PRICE:495pMARKET VALUE:£1.62bn
TOUCH:494-495p12-MONTH HIGH:566pLOW: 397p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%*PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:83pNET CASH:£95.6m
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20131.0164.113.810.50
20141.0580.419.311.00
20151.0690.721.311.50
20161.2010023.111.98
20171.3711826.512.50
% change+15+18+15+4
Ex-div:17 May   
Payment:18 Jun   
*Excludes special dividend of 12.73p a share paid in October 2017