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Old Mutual metamorphosis on track

Still a few hoops to jump through, but cost synergies are starting to show through
March 16, 2018

Headline figures from Old Mutual (OML) for the year to December 2017 lost some of their meaning, hardly surprising given that the business has been changed radically in the past two years, while the previous year’s figures were also restated.

IC TIP: Hold at 251.9p

The big change has centred on its managed separation strategy which hopefully will result in four separately listed businesses. And just to cloud the works further, references in the annual figures to Old Mutual Emerging Markets and Old Mutual Wealth relate to the performance and corporate activity prior to this report, while references to Old Mutual Limited and Quilter relate to the future actions of those independent business following completion of managed separation.

The complex process has already begun to show benefits, principally through cost and debt reduction, and profits on continuing operations more than doubled. Completion of the separation process is on track to complete by the end of 2018, subject to regulatory and shareholder approval, and annual savings on costs are expected to total £95m, including the wind-down of the head office.

On the operating front, the group performed better than expected in South Africa despite weakness in consumer and business confidence, and headline earnings grew by 2.8 per cent. In Old Mutual Wealth, net performance fees were behind the sharp increase in profits, while assets under management grew by a fifth to £138.5bn.

OLD MUTUAL (OML)   
ORD PRICE:251.9pMARKET VALUE:£ 12.43bn
TOUCH:251.8-252p12-MONTH HIGH:260pLOW: 184p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.8%PE RATIO:31
NET ASSET VALUE:222pSOLVENCY RATIO:123%
Year to 31 DecGross premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20133.701.5314.98.1
20143.211.3613.58.7
2015 (restated)3.591.2011.78.9
2016 (restated)3.730.313.56.06
20174.230.628.07.1
% change+13+102+129+17
Ex-div:05 Apr   
Payment:30 Apr