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Faroe: well incentivised

From 'find and sell' to 'find and develop', Faroe is starting to sing the market's tune
March 20, 2018

Faroe Petroleum (FPM) is not short of plaudits. Executives at its oil and gas peers speak glowingly of its approach to capital and asset management, which left the company with plenty of cash on hand at the end of 2017, despite pre-tax exploration and development costs of £144m, and a 20 per cent uptick in proven and probable reserves.

IC TIP: Hold at 112p

But if the ‘find and sell’ model has worked well so far, it hasn’t kept everyone happy. “The market expects exploration results for next to nothing,” says chief executive Graham Stewart. “Hard assets are what seem to count.”

Now, with liquidity further boosted by a $100m (£71m) bond, Faroe can do both. The Brasse development – “a source of great excitement”, says Mr Stewart – will suck up a lot of cash, and means that development and production expenditure should hit £175m in 2018. And although this year’s exploration and appraisal programme could see up to six wells drilled at a cost of £80m, Norway’s fiscal regime still provides a massive incentive: post-tax, the expected outlay should drop to £20m.

This subsidy does not yet appear endangered, despite the apparent national pivot away from oil, most recently demonstrated by Statoil’s name change to ‘Equinor’. Still, Faroe’s looming production growth will steadily reduce any dependence on the incentives, were a new government to review the fiscal terms. On average, analysts expect pre-tax profit of £3.6m and adjusted EPS of 8.3p in 2018, versus estimates for a loss of £14.2m and 1.1p last year.

FAROE PETROLEUM (FPM)  
ORD PRICE:112pMARKET VALUE:£411m
TOUCH:109-112p12-MONTH HIGH:117pLOW: 75p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:N/A
NET ASSET VALUE:62p*NET CASH:£75m**
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)   Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201312910.06.6nil
2014129-166.0-22.6nil
2015113-122.0-19.7nil
201694.8-61.6-10.5nil
2017153-13.7-3.1nil
% change+61---
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of £78.2m, or 21.3p a share **Excluding £33.7m in financial liabilities, including Norway exploration financing facility