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Card Factory strikes better tone

The retailer is more upbeat about the coming year, although margins are still under pressure
April 10, 2018

Card Factory (CARD) has struck a more upbeat note discussing the state of the current financial year. Last year’s results were grim, with underlying sales mostly flat and profits – whether on a cash, operating or pre-tax basis – in decline, as margins took a sustained beating. But the board says it’s more “satisfied” with current progress, and believes it could muster a special dividend of 5p-10p this year if costs remain largely in line with expectations. Admittedly, pressure will persist – cash profit margins will fall by around 120 basis points this year – but chief executive Karen Hubbard believes investments that are being made now in new ranges and better efficiencies will pay off in 2020.

IC TIP: Hold at 200p

Given the renewed stability of sterling against the US dollar and other global currencies, many retailers are entering a more benign cost environment. Card Factory’s longer-term hedging policies gave it immediate protection in the aftermath of the Brexit vote, says financial chief Kris Lee, but it means that latter comparatives suffered.

Analysts at Peel Hunt still expect adjusted pre-tax profit of £78.5m for the year ending January 2019, giving EPS of 18p, compared with £80.5m and 18.9p in FY2018.

CARD FACTORY (CARD)  
ORD PRICE:220pMARKET VALUE:£751m
TOUCH:220-220.4p12-MONTH HIGH:341pLOW: 185p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.2%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:64p*NET DEBT:74%
Year to 31 JanTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201432730.17.5nil
201535342.710.66.8
201638283.719.58.5
201739882.819.39.1**
201842272.617.19.3**
% change+6-12-11+2
Ex-div:3 May   
Payment:8 Jun   
*Includes intangible assets of £332m, or 97p a share
**Excludes special dividends worth 15p a share