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A sterling result from Victrex

The performance polymer manufacturer has produced record half-year returns, albeit as a consequence of sterling weakness
May 14, 2018

Victrex (VCT) produced a creditable performance at the half-year mark, but the currency effects that bolstered reported figures have already started to dissipate with sterling’s rise against some of the group’s selling currencies. Consequently, the performance polymer manufacturer expects its average selling price for FY2018 to be in line with last year's £72.70 per kilogramme, as management estimates that 90 per cent of currency benefits will be weighted to the first half.

IC TIP: Hold at 2624p

We probably sound a little 'glass half-empty' here; after all, sales volumes were up by a fifth and revenues by 15 per cent at constant currencies (CC). But a higher proportion of consumer electronics volumes and a contraction in underlying revenue at the medical (Invibio) segment, meant that the rise in group pre-tax profits (CC) came in at a more prosaic 2 per cent. Operating overheads were up a third reflecting “higher front-end investment” and increased accruals for the group’s bonus and incentive schemes.

Operating cash flow was equivalent to 106 per cent of operating profits, so Victrex exited the first half with net cash well ahead of the £85m special dividend threshold. However, we wouldn’t be surprised if inventories start to tick up ahead of the UK’s exit from the EU, as management might want to secure inputs in case of supply chain disruption.

JPMorgan Cazenove guides for adjusted EPS of 18.7p for the full year to September 2018, rising to 19p in FY2019.

VICTREX (VCT)    
ORD PRICE:2,624pMARKET VALUE:£2.26bn
TOUCH:2,608-2,626p12-MONTH HIGH:2,764pLOW: 1,777p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%*PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:516pNET CASH:£91.8m^
Half-year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201713150.146.412.2
201816763.364.713.4
% change+27+26+39+10
Ex-div:07 Jun   
Payment:29 Jun   
*Yield excludes special 68p a share payment for FY2017. ^Includes long-term deposits