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Micro Focus: glimmers of hope

The beleaguered IT group said the integration of HPE Software is progressing well
July 11, 2018

Micro Focus’s (MCRO) half-year numbers need context, not only in that the infrastructure software group has moved its year-end from April to October, but also that the figures bear the imprint of the ongoing integration of Hewlett Packard’s (HPE) software arm, which was acquired for $8.8bn (£6.6bn) in 2017. In March, we learnt that the process was proving challenging. Management cut its full-year sales guidance, and chief executive Chris Hsu, who had joined from HPE, resigned - and the market value duly plummeted.

IC TIP: Hold

Against this backdrop, the latest results offer glimmers of hope, even though the group swung into the red on a statutory basis due to a massive rise in R&D commitments, administrative expenses, and other costs relating to the consolidation of the acquired business. Management highlighted “an improved momentum” in the integration process, and a slowdown in the rate of revenue decline, with the expected rate at  6-9 per cent for the full-year. Pro-forma, constant currency revenues fell by just 8 per cent to $1.97bn, while pro-forma cash profits increased by 6.4 per cent to £711m, on a 4.2 percentage point increase in the underlying margin.

Broker Numis forecasts adjusted pre-tax profits of $1bn with EPS of 178¢ for the year to October 2018 (FY2017: $716m and 192¢).

MICRO FOCUS (MCRO)   
ORD PRICE:1,183pMARKET VALUE:£ 5.16bn
TOUCH:1,181-1,183p12-MONTH HIGH:2,749pLOW: 782p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.6%PE RATIO:9
NET ASSET VALUE:1,869¢*NET DEBT:53%
Half-year to 30 AprTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20170.7083.129.358.33
20181.97-68.514258.33
% change+184-+385-
Ex-div:02 Aug   
Payment:24 Aug   
*Includes intangible assets of $14.9bn or 3,404¢ per share. £1 = $1.33