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Combined ratio improves at Sabre

The insurer’s focus on its combined ratio reaped rewards, while a special dividend could materialise at the full-year stage
August 1, 2018

Sabre Insurance’s (SBRE) half-year results were broadly positive, with all key metrics moving in the right direction. Indeed, the loss ratio – denoting the ratio of paid insurance claims to premiums earned – fell to 45.7 per cent, from 49.6 per cent. Meanwhile, the combined ratio – denoting claims and expenses as a percentage of premium income – improved from 71.7 per cent to 68.6 per cent; particularly strong when one considers that the insurer targets the mid-70s.

IC TIP: Buy at 281p

Most importantly for income-seekers, the solvency coverage ratio reached 209 per cent, or 179 per cent after accounting for the 7.2p interim dividend. This trumps bosses’ preferred range of 140-160 per cent, increasing the likelihood of a special dividend at the full-year stage.

Still, there’s the wider industry context to consider. In May, a trading update revealed that competitive pricing in the first two months of 2018 – as per the last few weeks of 2017 – had led to a modest reduction in premium income year-on-year. And, within the latest results, management referred to an apparent “phase of weaker pricing” for the market. But it reckons Sabre’s “non-standard” market positioning should help to insulate it from such pressures. Sabre focuses on the higher-average-premium end of the market, where there is typically less competition.

Analysts at Barclays forecast gross written premiums of £214m and EPS of 21.2p for 2018, against £211m and 14.5p in 2017.

SABRE INSURANCE (SBRE)  
ORD PRICE:281pMARKET VALUE:£ 700m
TOUCH:281-282p12-MONTH HIGH:296pLOW: 227p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.6%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:104p*COMBINED RATIO:68.6%
Half-year to 30 JunGross premiums (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Investment return (£m)Dividend per share (p)
2017*10928.0-0.2nil
201810932.0-0.17.2
% change-+14--
Ex-div:23 Aug   
Payment:20 Sep   
*Includes intangible assets of £157m, or 63p per share**Sabre Insurance floated in December 2017