Pre-tax profits jumped by 18 per cent at Admiral (ADM) in the year to December 2018, but the advance was trimmed to just 2 per cent when discounting the £66m release from reserves following an assumed change in the Ogden rate used to calculate personal injury payments.
In the UK motor insurance division, underlying profits (without the Ogden benefit) grew by 2 per cent thanks to a 9 per cent increase in the number of vehicles insured to 4.32m. However, the combined ratio (of claims as a percentage of premium income) deteriorated slightly from 80.3 per cent to 81.9 per cent, reflecting increased frequency in large bodily injury claims and damage claim inflation.
Turnover in household insurance grew sharply after total premiums written rose by 36 per cent, although the combined ratio slipped from 103.5 per cent to 120.4 per cent, which resulted in a loss of £3m. Most of this reflected increased bad weather and subsidence claims, without which there would have been a profit of £7.7m.
UK price comparison website Confused.com pushed profits up by 40 per cent and the overall price comparison business delivered profits of £9m – up £2m on the previous year. But progress was held back by the US website, which struggled as other advertisers increased spending.
Analysts at Numis are forecasting pre-tax profits of £491m and adjusted EPS of 136p for the year to December 2019.
ADMIRAL (ADM) | ||||
ORD PRICE: | 2,097p | MARKET VALUE: | £6.09bn | |
TOUCH: | 2,096-2,098p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 2,227p | LOW: 1,789p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 6% | PE RATIO: | 58 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 261p* | COMBINED RATIO: | 89.3% |
Year to 31 Dec | Net premiums: (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Investment income (£m) | Dividend per share (p) |
2014 | 465 | 351 | 15.4 | 46.2 |
2015 | 467 | 369 | 32.6 | 57.9 |
2016 | 549 | 278 | 53.1 | 103 |
2017 | 619 | 404 | 41.7 | 114 |
2018 | 672 | 476 | 36.0 | 126 |
% change | +9 | +18 | -14 | +11 |
Ex-div: | 09 May | |||
Payment: | 31 May | |||
*Includes intangible assets of £162m, or 56p a share |