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Crunch time for Hurricane Energy

The maverick North Sea explorer has a crucial few months ahead
March 28, 2019

Full-year results for Hurricane Energy (HUR) arrived with no real surprises, but fresh assurance that the hydrocarbon explorer will "soon be generating the long-term production data" required to fully develop the Lancaster field.

IC TIP: Hold at 47p

From an investor’s perspective, that data will be accompanied by a barrage of news. Following the hook-up of the Aoka Mizu production and storage vessel in mid-March, final commissioning of the early production system is under way, and first oil is expected within the next three months.

Barring any hiccups, management then expects a steady six-month ramp-up in output to 17,000 barrels of oil per day, which should produce not only data, but a lot of cash. Indeed, against a $60 (£46) a barrel oil price, Hurricane expects the pilot field to be generating more than $200m in annual operating cash flow at 85 per cent of production capacity.

Around the same time, drilling at the first of three wells financed by the Spirit Energy farm-in should begin, which Hurricane ambitiously hopes will result in first oil from a tie-back to the Aoka Mizu in 2020.

For 2019, analyst EPS estimates range between 4¢ and $3.89, with a consensus forecast of $1.28.

HURRICANE ENERGY (HUR)  
ORD PRICE:47pMARKET VALUE:£923m
TOUCH:46.9-47.2p12-MONTH HIGH:61pLOW: 32p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:32¢*NET DEBT:27%
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2014nil-14.9-2.4nil
2015nil-8.4-1.3nil
2016nil-6.40.1nil
2017nil-7.0-0.5nil
2018nil-60.9-3.1nil
% change----
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of $132m, or 6.7¢ a share                                    £1=$1.32