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Nichols' Vimto boost

Amidst challenging trading conditions in the UK, the soft drinks business saw Middle Eastern and African sales rally
July 18, 2019

Amidst challenging UK trading conditions, soft drinks maker Nichols (NICL) saw its first-half operating profit increase by just 2.1 per cent to £72m. A 1.5 percentage point margin squeeze came on the back of investment in infrastructure and adverse currency movements.

IC TIP: Hold at 1,700p

The signature Vimto range continued to drive momentum in still beverages - UK sales of the dilute product and Middle Eastern demand for the concentrated version boosted revenue by 12 per cent to £34m. That said, against a record hot summer last year, Vimto sales growth was more muted at 4 per cent, reflective of a wider slowdown in the domestic soft drinks market. Overall, UK revenue increased by 6.2 per cent to £57m.

There’s no mention this time around of the ongoing conflict in Yemen, which has previously affected shipment timings to Saudi Arabia. Versus a weak comparison period, international sales surged by 30 per cent to £14.5m, with Middle Eastern revenue more than doubling to £4.6m. With strong execution in core markets, sales to Africa grew by 12.6 per cent to £7.6m, propelling growth in carbonated drinks.

Numis expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £33m and EPS of 73.3p for the 2019 full year, rising to £35.8m and 79.6p in 2020.

NICHOLS (NICL)   
ORD PRICE:1,700pMARKET VALUE:£627m
TOUCH:1,625-1,700p12-MONTH HIGH:1,840pLOW: 1,230p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%PE RATIO:24
NET ASSET VALUE:307p*NET CASH:£29.5m
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201865.013.128.811.3
201971.613.329.612.4
% change+10+2+3+10
Ex-div:25 Jul   
Payment:30 Aug   
*Includes intangibles of £47m, or 127p a share