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Senior battles Boeing disruption

The engineering group managed to limit the impact of the Boeing crisis on its working capital
August 5, 2019

Senior's (SNR) aerospace operating margins were hampered by Boeing’s decision to lower its production of its stricken 737 Max jet, which is currently grounded after two crashes that killed 346 people. The engineering group also flagged uncertainty surrounding the Boeing 777x jet, which has been delayed by engine problems.

IC TIP: Hold at 197p

In April, Boeing reduced its monthly production of Max planes from 52 to 42, having previously anticipated ramping up to 57 jets. The decision prompted Senior, which makes airframe and engine components for the Max, to warn of the resulting risk to margins that month. At its half-year results, aerospace adjusted operating margins fell 150 basis points from last year to 9 per cent.

At its July second-quarter results, Boeing maintained its late 2020 target for its first delivery of the 777X, but flagged “significant risk to this schedule given engine challenges”, which are delaying the jet’s first flight until early 2020. Senior makes a host of components for the Boeing 777 and the 777x, and chief executive David Squires said that the delay would likely leave the group “making the existing 777 parts for a bit longer, before we switch across to the 777x”.

Bloomberg consensus forecasts predict full-year 2019 earnings per share of 15.4p, rising to 16.9p in 2020.

SENIOR (SNR)    
ORD PRICE:197pMARKET VALUE:£826.2m
TOUCH:196-19712-MONTH HIGH:330pLOW: 184p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.8%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:133p*NET DEBT:31%**
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201852331.45.902.19
201958026.54.812.28
% change+11-16-18+4
Ex-div:31 Oct   
Payment:29 Nov   
*Includes intangible assets of £334m, or 80p a share **Net debt does not include lease liabilities of £96.3m