Join our community of smart investors

Kainos flags public sector spending slowdown

The software services provider has been increasing the proportion of public sector and international work it completes
November 11, 2019

In hindsight, Kainos’ (KNOS) efforts to diversify away from government work five years ago was a wise move, given the state's subsequent hesitancy to spend on new digital projects. That trend was evident in the six months to September. Though the digital transformation division saw a 20 per cent rise in revenues from public sector customers, commercial clients increased their purchases by 70 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 530p

The group is reallocating resources accordingly. “[It] allows us to move some of our best staff off our government contracts and onto our commercial contracts,” chief executive Brendan Mooney told us. Revenues from the workday services division – which provides financial and human capital management software and consulting services to a largely commercial client base – saw revenue growth of almost two-thirds during the period, and now represents 23 per cent of the digital services business's top line, up from 18 per cent a year ago. 

International expansion also meant headcount was up by almost a fifth, while the proportion of permanent employees increased versus contractors. However, that shift and the adverse timing of staff bonus payments meant cash conversion – defined as the proportion of operating cash generation to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation – fell to 60 per cent, compared with 93 per cent in the prior year.    

House broker Investec forecasts adjusted pre-tax profits of £25.5m and EPS of 17p for the year to March 2020, rising to £26.7m and 17.8p the following year. 

KAINOS (KNOS)    
ORD PRICE:530pMARKET VALUE:£ 644m
TOUCH:528-530p12-MONTH HIGH:684pLOW: 349p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.9%PE RATIO:32
NET ASSET VALUE:49pNET CASH:£41m*
Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201867.28.75.92.8
201986.912.08.03.5
% change+29+38+36+25
Ex-div:28 Nov   
Payment:20 Dec   
*Excludes lease liabilities of £4.4m