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Trifast suffers as demand loosens

The fastener company is at the mercy of client businesses, with auto demand and Italian appliances hitting half-year results
November 19, 2019

Trifast's (TRI) October profit warning set the tone for the half-year report. The industrial fastenings supplier dampened market expectations, largely as a consequence of industry-wide problems in the automotive sector resulting in lower volumes to existing clients and lead times being extended on new contracts.

IC TIP: Sell at 165p

Trifast’s underlying operating profit was down 8 per cent on the prior year, falling to £11m, with the associated margin contracting by 0.7 percentage points to 10.6 per cent. The biggest hit to the operating margin was in the European business, which saw a 3.2 percentage point fall to 8.5 per cent. Trifast said the Italian domestic appliance sector cut volumes as a result of “reputational issues” at one of its largest customers. 

The company said new business in Thailand made up for some of the European and Chinese sales declines, although this is still a relatively small chunk of revenue. Overall revenue in Asian was down 6.8 per cent year on year to £29m. As flagged earlier in October, UK revenues were down as well, with “planned production line stops” from April hurting order numbers in the half. 

Trifast is focusing more on ‘tier 1’ customers and original equipment manufacturers, and said its 2.5 per cent year-on-year drop in automotive sales (which provide a third of revenue) compared well to a 7.3 per cent fall in global automotive production levels. 

Broker Stifel expects full-year revenue of £202m and adjusted earnings per share of 12.6p, a 3 and 16 per cent drop on FY2019, respectively. 

TRIFAST (TRI)    
ORD PRICE:165pMARKET VALUE:£ 202m
TOUCH:165-166p12-MONTH HIGH:242p149p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.3%PE RATIO:20
NET ASSET VALUE:101p*NET DEBT:13%**
Half year to 30 SeptTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20181058.04.931.20
20191037.94.921.20
% change-2-1-8-
Ex-div:12 Mar   
Payment:09 Apr   
*Includes intangible assets of £46m, or 38p per share  **Excludes lease liabilities of £16m