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Gamesys worth a bet

The gambling group returned to UK revenue growth
March 17, 2020

With betting giants fretting over their exposure to sports events cancelled due to the coronavirus, bingo-led gambling operator Gamesys (GYS) currently appears a relatively safe punt for investors. The re-formatted group came into being following a £490m reverse takeover of assets by JPJ Group (owner of the JackpotJoy brand). The deal included Gamesys' technology platform and content studios, but not its Virgin-branded sportsbook.

IC TIP: Buy at 548p

Regulatory tightening in Sweden brought European turnover down 13 per cent to £68.6m. The acquisition has taken the group’s leverage up to an adjusted net debt to cash profits multiple of 2.83, which is above its target range of 1-2. Management is targeting a share buyback programme and the launch of dividends. The company will be able to return capital to shareholders if this multiple falls below 2.75, according to Peel Hunt analysts, with a buyback initiative currently appearing more probable.

Gamesys returned to UK revenue growth last year, while its momentum in Japan powered a 137 per cent lift in Asian gaming revenues to £122m.

Peel Hunt forecasts full-year 2020 adjusted pre-tax profits and EPS of £138m and 118p respectively, rising to £151m and 129p in 2021.

GAMESYS (GYS)   
ORD PRICE:548pMARKET VALUE:£ 596m
TOUCH:543-554p12-MONTH HIGH:842pLOW: 483p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:50
NET ASSET VALUE:428p*NET DEBT:98%**
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2015 †185-114-188nil
2016 †267-40.7-57.0nil
2017 †289-70.0-92.0nil
201830819.726.0nil
201941512.011.0nil
% change+35-39-58-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of £1bn, or 928p a share **Includes lease liabilities of £22.6m, does not include restricted cash of £6.3m. † In Sep 2019 JPJ Group carried out a reverse takeover of Gamesys, whose historical figures cover years 2015-17.