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Hyve profits a non-event

The company acquired two events in December, but a harsh Spring lay ahead
May 7, 2020

Hyve (HYVE) has launched an emergency rights issue in order to raise £127m, after the mass disruption of public gatherings plunged the events company into a deep full-year loss. The group, which designs and hosts events across the world, has postponed 48 and cancelled a further 13. Under its scenario planning, it does not expect any events to take place until next year apart from a handful in China. That translates to an anticipated 80 per cent hit to FY2020 revenues. Hyve’s slump into a pre-tax loss was driven by £167m in impairment charges, as the outbreak drives up discount rates and slashes profit forecasts.

IC TIP: Sell at 19.8p

Hyve completed two acquisitions during the period - the US-based Shoptalk and Groceryshop events - for a total outlay of £110m. The deals increased adjusted net debt by 44 per cent to £157m, hardly ideal given that corporations everywhere are prioritising capital preservation. Predictably, Shoptalk has been postponed by six months to September, and Hyve suggests this probably won’t take place in a physical setting. 

Indeed, the group is developing its online capability in the absence of in-person events, though chief executive Mark Shashoua admits that "digital will not replace face-to-face events”. It is viewed as a complementary function and will be used to maximise the profile of Hyve’s brands.

Investec forecasts, which are under review, give adjusted pre-tax profits and EPS of £44.9m and 4p, respectively, for the Sept. 2020 year-end, rising to £66.2m and 5.8p in FY2021. 

HYVE (HYVE)    
ORD PRICE:19.8pMARKET VALUE:£ 162m
TOUCH:19.7-20p12-MONTH HIGH:110pLOW: 15p
DIVIDEND YIELD:8.1%PE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:21p*NET DEBT:89%**
Half-year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20191081.9-0.10.90
202096.3-168-21.7nil
% change-11---
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of £428m, or 52p a share **Includes lease liabilities of £20.4m