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FirstGroup passenger numbers plummet

Average passenger volumes dropped by around 90 per cent in March thanks to Covid-19
July 8, 2020

First Group (FGP) swung to an operating loss of £153m in the year to 31 March, as the bus and rail operator grappled with the Covid-19 pandemic and a £187m impairment on its Greyhound coach business. Amid international lockdowns and the closure of North American schools, average passenger volumes nosedived by around 90 per cent in March, traditionally a significant month for trading. 

IC TIP: Hold at 49.2p

Coronavirus-related charges amounted to £21.5m for the period, but performance was also weighed down by a £141m provision for North American insurance, as well as £58.2m in restructuring and reorganisation costs.

For Greyhound, the impact of coronavirus followed an already difficult year with lower immigration-related demand in southern US border states, increasing competition and lower fuel prices making car travel more attractive. Revenue from the business dropped by 9.4 per cent at constant currencies to £603m. 

Management did not provide guidance for 2021, citing uncertainties around how demand will recover, the rate at which fiscal support is wound down, the duration of social distancing and the timing of North American school reopenings. 

Following the March year end, the group tapped the UK’s Covid corporate financing facility (CCFF) scheme for £300m and entered into a committed £250m bridging loan to repay a £350m bond maturing in April 2021. 

Analyst consensus compiled by FactSet places adjusted EPS at 0.71p for March 2021, down from 12.1p in FY2020.

FIRSTGROUP (FGP)   
ORD PRICE:49.2pMARKET VALUE:£ 599m
TOUCH:49.1-49.3p12-MONTH HIGH:139pLOW: 25p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:97p*NET DEBT:£3.3bn**
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20165.221147.5nil
20175.651539.3nil
20186.40-327-24.6nil
20197.13-97.9-5.5nil
20207.75-300-27.0nil
% change+9---
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of £1.7bn, or 141p a share **Includes lease liabilities of £2.5bn