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Direct Line back on the income trail

The insurer has reinstated dividends on the back of a strengthening solvency position
August 4, 2020

Direct Line (DLG) has reinstated its dividend payments at the half-year mark, while compensating for the April cancellation of the 2019 final dividend by announcing a 14.4p special dividend, which gives an underlying yield of 4.5 per cent. That earlier cancellation and suspension of a £150m share buyback boosted the insurer’s solvency capital ratio. But even factoring these new payments, the measure stands at a healthy 192 per cent, a result of strengthening capital generation and the issue of £260m of Tier 2 debt.

IC TIP: Hold at 326p

The group said the impact of Covid-19 had been “broadly neutral”, as proportionally higher operating costs and lower investment had been largely offset by a sharp reduction in motor vehicle claims as the number of car journeys plummeted.

The motor vehicle segment, which accounted for roughly a half of written premiums through the period, registered a dramatic fall in claims as a proportion of premiums. That meant the group’s combined ratio of 90.3 per cent improved by 2.2 percentage points on the 2019 year-end, even though the rescue/personal lines unit lagged the other parts of the business over that period. Underwriting profits have continued to improve since the period-end despite additional costs incurred in response to the pandemic.

The consensus forecast for adjusted EPS stands at 22.67p, rising to 27.2p in 2021.

DIRECT LINE (DLG)   
ORD PRICE:326pMARKET VALUE:£4.43bn
TOUCH:325.9-326.4p12-MONTH HIGH:355pLOW: 225p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.1%PE RATIO:2
NET ASSET VALUE:203p*COMBINED RATIO:90.3%
Half-year to 30 JuneGross earned Premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20191.5926114.97.2
20201.5923613.67.4
% change-0.3-10-9+3
Ex-div:13 Aug   
Payment:4 Sep   
NB: 2020 interim payout does not include special dividend of 14.4p. *Includes intangible assets of £741m, or 54.5p a share