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Antofagasta growth checked by Covid

Dividend has dropped, but interim payout remains at 35 per cent underlying net earnings
August 20, 2020

Antofagasta (ANTO) has cut its half-year dividend after dropping worker numbers at its mines and seeing copper prices tumble in the first months of the pandemic. The high gold price did not prop-up earnings because production fell 26 per cent year-on-year on lower grades. 

IC TIP: Buy at 1,085p

While the Chile-focused miner did not have to close any operations in the first half, it said it was running mines with two-thirds the usual number of workers, and had suspended expansion works. This includes the major Los Pelambres expansion, which has lost six months. 

The delay will add around $50m (£37.9m) to the initial $1.3bn cost of the work, and Antofagasta said it had spent the down months adding new capacity to the desalination plant design because of the risk of water shortages, at a cost of $150m. 

Spending cuts combined with a weaker Chilean peso saw net cash costs fall 6 per cent in the first half, to $1.12 per pound (lb) of copper. Cash profits were down 22 per cent to $1bn, with the margin falling from 52 per cent to 47 per cent. 

A positive for Antofagasta – alongside the major improvement in the copper price in recent weeks – was net debt coming down in the first half. The miner completed a debt-to-equity swap in the period and its net borrowings dropped from $563m at the end of 2019 to $320m at the end of June. 

Peel Hunt forecasts full-year cash profits of $2bn, rising to $3.4bn in 2021.

ANTOFAGASTA (ANTO)    
ORD PRICE:1,085pMARKET VALUE:£ 10.7bn
TOUCH:1,084-1,085p12-MONTH HIGH:1,149pLOW: 575p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.9%PE RATIO:42
NET ASSET VALUE:756¢NET DEBT:3%
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20192.5376330.710.7
20202.1438813.76.2
% change-15-49-55-42
Ex-div:03 Sep   
Payment:02 Oct   
£1=$1.31