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Clipper expects to exceed 2021 market forecasts

The group is benefiting from growing exposure to ecommerce
August 24, 2020

The acceleration towards online retail boosted demand for Clipper Logistics’ (CLG) services in 2020, pushing revenue past the £0.5bn-mark for the first time. 

IC TIP: Hold at 396p

Indeed, operating profit climbed by more than a quarter in e-fulfilment and returns management services. The growth was partly led by new business with clients such as Shop Direct, N Brown and Simba Sleep - the impact of which will not be fully realised until the end of the 2021 financial year. 

However, non e-fulfilment revenues, which accounted for just over a quarter of the group total, dipped 1 per cent as various contracts expired in the period. Clicklink, its joint venture with John Lewis in the ‘click and collect’ market, contributed a loss of £0.2m as it suffered from the closure of non-essential retail stores. 

Meanwhile, central logistics overhead costs ramped up by more than a tenth, excluding non-underlying factors. Management said that it had funneled these funds into investment in its operational support and back office functions. 

Looking ahead, the wider economic backdrop is shaky to say the least - but Clipper believes it will comfortably exceed market expectations for its current financial year. Numis forecasts pre-tax profits of £26.5m and EPS of 20.4p in 2021, rising to £30.3m and 22.9p the following year.  

CLIPPER LOGISTICS (CLG)  
ORD PRICE:396pMARKET VALUE:£ 403m
TOUCH:392-396p12-MONTH HIGH:385pLOW: 135p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:25
NET ASSET VALUE:29p*NET DEBT:£219m
Year to 30 AprTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201629013.110.36.00
201734016.112.57.20
201840018.014.28.40
201946016.913.29.70
202050120.115.99.70
% change+9+19+20-
Ex-div:10 Sep   
Payment:05 Oct   
*Includes intangible assets of £37.9m or 37 p a share