Join our community of smart investors

Relx and enjoy the quality

Half year results from the events and publishing company are hard to fault and we think investors should buy into the quality
August 3, 2017

Compared with some media peers, there is little glamour at Relx (RELX). The FTSE 100 company produces scientific and legal journals, runs exhibitions such as ‘Touch Screen Technology’ and offers financial risk management solutions to large companies. Its recent expansion into data analytics makes the business appear moderately more exciting, as does its ownership of the popular fantasy event, Comic-Con. But Relx doesn’t need razzle dazzle, instead it oozes quality. While the portfolio may lack glitz, it has allowed the group to report underlying revenue, adjusted operating profit and earnings growth in every one of the last five years. During this time its return on capital employed has risen steadily from 17.1 per cent to 20.7 per cent, based on Sharepad data, while free cash flow has routinely outstripped post-tax profits.

IC TIP: Buy at 1660p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
Low
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

 

  • Long term growth record
  • Stable customers
  • Strong cash flow and returns
  • Share buyback scheme
Bear points

 

  • Pension deficit
  • Falling demand for print products

Recently reported results for the first half of the 2017 financial year have not defied the trend. On an underlying basis the group reported both revenue and adjusted operating profit growth across all of its four divisions (scientific, technical and medical; risk and business analytics; legal; and events), even though some significant markets – such as the US – experienced a slow-down. 

Relx, like many of its peers in the global publishing world, has recently had to contend with the waning demand for print. Since 2000, electronic publishing at the group has grown from 22 per cent of overall revenues to 72 per cent in 2016. Add that to revenues from events and the group’s print exposure is reassuringly low – just 13 per cent of last year's top line. This strategic realignment has not only helped ready the company for the demands of the digital age, but also gives greater scope for growth.

In the scientific, technical and medical division (31 per cent of revenues and 36 per cent of operating profits) the addition of electronic reference tools has helped attract new customers and promote additional relevant titles to doctors and scientists. The group’s journals – which include the prestigious Lancet publication – are some of the most highly regarded in the world and attract more than 10m unique visitors every month.

For risk professionals, Relx is also the number one global company. Revenue and adjusted operating profit here both rose 8 per cent in recent interim results and now make up 29 per cent and 34 per cent of total numbers, respectively. The group owns an extraordinary amount of data, collected over many years, which provides a very high barriers to entry for competitors. Using this data, Relx is developing analytical software to prevent fraud and manage risk in the corporate sector.

Exhibitions is the smallest of the group’s four divisions on a revenue basis at 17 per cent of the total. Its extensive geographical reach and exposure to more than 40 sectors, means it is protected from weakness in specific markets or industries. In the first half of the year the group launched 21 new events and acquired two small companies.

Customers are stable across all of the divisions: a university is unlikely cancel its journal subscriptions; the volume of jury verdicts, settlements and patents stored online at Relx means global law firms rely on the groups platforms; and the trust required in risk management means big businesses rarely switch. Customers are therefore "sticky" making revenue relatively predictable year-on-year.

Financially, there is also a lot to like about Relx. Capital expenditure has averaged just 5 per cent of group sales since 2012 and the vast majority of that has gone into technological development. Despite increased staff costs as the group expands it digital capabilities, operating margins have remained stable at 30 per cent. Tight capital control ensures excellent cash generation. The balance sheet is also in good shape, too; with historic pension deficit and lease-liabilities are included, the net debt to adjusted cash profits ratio stood at 2.4 times at the half year stage. All this stability allows the group to pay gradually increasing dividends while buying back shares - £700m worth in the current financial year.

RELX (REL)    
ORD PRICE:1,660pMARKET VALUE:

£ 33.7bn

TOUCH:1660-1661p12-MONTH HIGH:1,728p1,273p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%FORWARD PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:176p*NET DEBT:

£5.0bn

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£bn)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
20145.771.5856.326.0
20155.971.6760.529.7
20166.901.9371.633.9
2017**7.442.1580.036.6
2018**7.802.3286.439.5
% change+5+8+8+8
NMS:1,500   
Matched Bargain Trading    
BETA:0.79   
*Includes intangible assets of £9.4bn, or 884p a share
**Numis forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures