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Fulcrum opening up new pipelines

The utility services provider is looking to make an impact in the UK electricity market
August 10, 2017

Fulcrum (FCRM) has been a favourite of ours for a while. The company provides utilities infrastructure services, such as design and build for gas pipeline networks and asset ownership. It was spun out of National Grid (NG.) in 2010 and, while it originally struggled, its share price has risen strongly since our previous buy tip back in 2015. Now, with the company on the cusp of expanding into new markets, the investment case looks as strong as ever.

IC TIP: Buy at 53p
Tip style
Value
Risk rating
Low
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Expanding into new markets
  • Lots of cash 
  • Profit margins widening
  • Growing order book
Bear points
  • Key licence not yet granted
  • High PE relative to peers

Historically, Fulcrum has focused on sectors of the UK gas market. At the end of March, it owned an £11.9m portfolio of assets from across the domestic, industrial and commercial spheres, which provides an annualised income of £1.6m in gas transportation charges. It has also agreed to buy a further £2.8m of gas assets.

On top of this, the group has been expanding into new areas. In October, it began adopting, owning and operating low pressure gas meters, which was followed in November by medium pressure industrial and commercial meters. It is now seeking an independent distribution network operator licence, which would allow it to own electrical assets. Analysts at broker Finncap estimate the gas connections market – the group's core business – is worth £300m per year, while the electrical market is worth £500m.

The licence has yet to be granted, but should come through in December for the first assets to be adopted in early 2018. Management says the process is "on track" and it is targeting the same “low double-digit” returns as the group has been generating from its gas assets. The move will be funded from the £12.6m cash pile to begin with, but management is willing to take on debt or raise equity to fuel further growth in the sector.

Growing the order book has been a priority in recent years and in the latest financial year the book grew 39 per cent to £30.3m. Opening up new markets is likely to have a positive effect on orders for obvious reasons. However, chief executive Martin Harrison said success in the electrical market would likely lead to an increase in gas customers too, as those looking for gas and electrical infrastructure often favour suppliers who can provide both.

The group is already benefitting from improved diversification. A broadening sales mix and increased level of transportation income are combining with improved efficiency and widening profit margin. In 2016-17, the gross margin expanded to 41 per cent from 36 per cent the year before. 

FULCRUM (FCRM)   
ORD PRICE:53pMARKET VALUE:£ 91m
TOUCH:52-53p12-MONTH HIGH:67pLOW: 36p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.2%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:6pNET CASH:£12.6m
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201533.71.20.70.4
201636.14.62.60.9
201737.76.73.61.9
2018*40.97.44.12.1
2019*43.08.13.92.2
% change+5+9-5+7
NMS:5,000   
Market makers:6     
Beta:-0.2   
* Cenkos estimates