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Take a bet on Ladbrokes Coral

Ladbrokes, still newly-merged with Coral, at last seems to be getting its digital act together
September 7, 2017

Accepting the risks is inherent in gambling, and buying shares in Ladbrokes Coral (LCL) is little different. Potential investors may find it difficult to look past the UK government’s review of fixed-odds betting terminals, which is due in October. The Department for Culture, Media and Sport is looking at the maximum stakes and prizes for gaming machines that have been labelled the 'crack cocaine' of gambling; how many machines can be present on one premises, and how can the risks to gamblers looking for a quick fix be minimised?

IC TIP: Buy at 116p
Tip style
Speculative
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Medium Term
Bull points

Improving digital revenue

Multi-channel play

Technology optimised for new products

Lowly rated compared with rivals 

Bear points

Fear of tougher regulations

Falling high-street revenue

Since 56 per cent of Ladbrokes Coral’s high street revenue comes from fixed-odds betting terminals, a cap on the amount punters could spend on them would be bad news. City analysts reckon that if the maximum stake took the extreme hit and was cut to £2 a play from the current £100 maximum, this would wipe around £450m from annual revenue and £100m per year off pre-tax profits. This could send EPS down as much as 40 per cent. But Interactive Investor’s head of equity strategy, Lee Wild, points out that these scenarios don't include benefits from the inevitable cost cutting that would follow the worst outcome.

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